The questions of “What are we going to see trending next year?” or “What’s going to change in the next 10 years?” are popular this time of year as we wrap up with the holiday season.

The desire to avoid uncertainty and also to flirt with novelty in the future is hard to resist. Sharing predictions makes great content for articles and talk show commentary. (The best part is no one will remember if you’re wrong.)

The range of possible futures is always changing, depending on who you’re talking to.

What’s less common is to consider a simpler question: what’s NOT going to change in the next 10 years?

I’ve heard that Warren Buffett and Jeff Bezos both think this is the more important question. Bezos’ opinion is that putting energy into speculating and predicting might work, and could pay off abundantly–or not. It’s a risky investment.

What’s not risky is investing in what stays the same.

What do you KNOW won’t change?

Fundamental human needs and desires, for one thing: needs for a comfortable home, supportive relationships, good health, desires for variety and actualization.

The need for fun and play, productivity and contribution. The desire for adventure and helping others. The drive for feeling purposeful. The thirst for knowledge and making sense of the world. The restlessness of growth. And so on…

I get energized by expansion and the wonder of new possibilities. But I find peace in balancing that with investing in these areas that remain the same year after year (both for me personally and for humans in general).

Part of what I love about the holidays is the comforting feeling of tradition, with the explosion of a fresh new year to follow. It’s the best of both all wrapped up in a few weeks.

Here’s to your holiday season feeling both comforting and fresh, exciting and nourishing.


Photo credit:  Esther Tuttle on Unsplash